Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.410197 0.447936 0.488787 0.536498 0.590954 0.651483 0.724283
2025-09-07 0.349917 0.402666 0.464198 0.542176 0.639680 0.759392 0.920430
2025-09-14 0.307014 0.365270 0.436600 0.532101 0.659403 0.827547 1.074245
2025-09-21 0.279955 0.341791 0.420441 0.530517 0.685268 0.902956 1.248341
2025-09-28 0.253826 0.315893 0.397121 0.514735 0.687145 0.942359 1.374831
2025-10-05 0.244449 0.310540 0.399748 0.533849 0.739925 1.063578 1.657344
2025-10-12 0.234741 0.303522 0.398880 0.547054 0.784686 1.179060 1.960540
2025-10-19 0.222982 0.292478 0.390963 0.548264 0.809835 1.265292 2.232993
2025-10-26 0.209146 0.277354 0.375659 0.536083 0.810619 1.307639 2.427259
2025-11-02 0.196444 0.262982 0.360287 0.522093 0.806135 1.338787 2.605778
2025-11-09 0.185953 0.251178 0.347903 0.511680 0.806417 1.378794 2.818146
2025-11-16 0.176968 0.241070 0.337389 0.503325 0.809215 1.424055 3.059841
2025-11-23 0.168480 0.231500 0.327486 0.495844 0.814140 1.477925 3.357233
2025-11-30 0.163294 0.226732 0.324960 0.501089 0.844726 1.595745 3.903980
2025-12-07 0.155686 0.217756 0.314984 0.492071 0.845493 1.644963 4.260861
2025-12-14 0.150180 0.211768 0.309495 0.490651 0.861646 1.735075 4.816336
2025-12-21 0.142756 0.202350 0.297703 0.476488 0.848870 1.749229 5.094418
2025-12-28 0.141488 0.202705 0.302342 0.493639 0.906519 1.963590 6.375060
2026-01-04 0.139341 0.201489 0.304164 0.505473 0.954097 2.165120 7.829389
2026-01-11 0.135587 0.197425 0.300743 0.506558 0.976662 2.299716 9.102901
2026-01-18 0.130220 0.190437 0.291759 0.495642 0.968732 2.336830 9.838198
2026-01-25 0.124933 0.183378 0.282309 0.483093 0.955332 2.353549 10.473947
2026-02-01 0.120426 0.177468 0.274651 0.473743 0.949004 2.393551 11.355430